Survey-based public opinion research · Germany
Geographic public opinion estimates for Germany — at the level decisions are taken.
We field quota surveys, apply multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) to a synthetic model of the German electorate, and deliver estimates at Bundesland, Wahlkreis or Gemeinde level.
Geographic resolution
From Bundesland down to a 100 m grid — we deliver estimates at the level your decisions are taken.
Products
Two products, one modelling stack.
Both draw on the same synthetic population and MRP framework. The difference is how your data are integrated.
Integrated solutions
Your data — field lists, budgets, media plans — combined with our synthetic population and multilevel models to identify where action produces the strongest returns.
- Shared geography from federal to sub-municipal level
- Scenario modelling for budget and field decisions
- Outputs as maps, tables, dashboards or API
MRP/Forecast
Survey questions fielded, weighted and modelled against our synthetic population. Delivered as small-area estimates at Bundesland, Wahlkreis or Gemeinde level.
- Buy questions, get outputs at your geography
- Bundesland → Wahlkreis → Gemeinde → finer
- Interactive dashboard + CSV + shapefiles
Synthetic population
A calibrated model of the German voting-age population, harmonised across census, election and survey sources. The foundation for any MRP at scale.
Multilevel models (MRP)
Hierarchical Bayesian and ML models pool information across demographic cells to produce stable small-area estimates—even where sample is thin.
Decision-ready outputs
Maps, data tables and interactive dashboards calibrated for campaign and organisational decisions. Plug into your existing tools or receive a self-contained report.
We respond to concrete briefs.
Describe what you need to measure or decide. We will reply with scope, methodology and a fixed price.